Adam Dunn Fantasy Value in Washington
The Nationals? Really?
We all know this is a downgrade in Dunn’s fantasy status, but how significant? I did a mock draft today and he fell all the way to round 7, pick 9 in a 12 man league! That’s nearly two rounds lower than his ADP, which apparently is going to drop like an anvil. I hope this overreaction continues when I start my real drafts because it just doesn’t make sense. He’s going to get about 40 HRs in just about any field in baseball. He’s also going to strike out and kill your average. RBI’s will dip a bit, but Washington’s lineup is young and fairly talented. He’s really one of the most simple and predictable players in fantasy. If you liked him/disliked him before you should feel about the same now.
I’m not the only one that thinks this. Razzball and FantasyBaseball365 pretty much feel the same. Here are those articles:
http://razzball.com/nats-finally-sign-a-one-tool-outfielder/>http://razzball.com/nats-finally-sign-a-one-tool-outfielder/
http://fantasybaseball365.com/2009/02/fantasy-impact-dunn-and-abreu-sign.html
Be sure to make it all the way to the bottom of the Razzball article. I lolled at the before and after Nick Johnson pics.
To be fair, I must also link to the detractors. The article below actually did some research, and as it turns out Dunn hit 9 “just enough” HR’s that may not have cleared the fence in Washington.
http://www.fantasyplayers.com/mlb/FeedItem.asp?FEED_ITEM_ID=63399
All things considered, I think Dunn can will himself to 37-40 HRs. If you find yourself in need of power in mid-late round 6 Dunn is still your guy.